Hillary Clinton has about a 76% chance of winning the presidency.
NYT
Poll: Clinton and Trump Now Tied as GOP Convention Kicks Off
by HANNAH HARTIG, JOHN LAPINSKI and STEPHANIE PSYLLOS
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are virtually tied in the polls as the Republican National Convention convenes in Cleveland this week. Clinton now just barely edges out Trump in a direct head-to-head match-up, 46 percent to 45 percent. This is slightly down from the 3-point lead she held in last week's tracking poll numbers.
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